Planit:What's the Significance of the Inflation Rate When You are Just Doing an IPS?

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The inflation rate is used in the forward projection of rates of return. For example, Canadian Equities might have an historical return of 10% for the past 40 years. The corresponding inflation rate for the same 40-year period might be 4.75%. Thus the “Real Rate of Return” would be 5.25% (10% – 4.75%.)

We then add the client’s inflation assumption to that real return of 5.25% to get the forward-looking rate of return. Thus if the client’s inflation rate was 3%, the forward-looking return would be 8.25% (5.25% + 3%) or if the inflation assumption was 4%, the return would be 9.25% (5.25% + 4%).

This recognizes the fact that there is a definite correlation between inflation rates and rates of returns on virtually all asset classes.

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